Two Things That Need To Happen For Chafee To Win The Democratic Debate Tonight

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Rhode Island’s former governor can use this debate as a springboard…provided that certain things go his way.

Tonight is the first Democratic Debate for a Presidential race that still has over a year to go. Hillary is still the favorite, but Bernie Sanders has been giving her a real run for her money, especially in the states with early primaries.

Long shots Maryland Gov. Martin O’Malley and former Virginia Sen. Jim Webb will be desperate for this event to give them some momentum.

And also on the stage, most likely with his trademark “deer-in-the-headlights” facial expression, will be the pride of the Ocean State, former Gov. Lincoln Chafee, who keeps running, despite that a few months ago he had no one who wanted to vote for him…and after Conan O’Brien commissioned Aimee Mann and Ted Leo to write and perform a theme song for his campaign…he still had zero support in the polls.

That said, there’s a chance, a small one, that Chafee could run away with the night, but for that to happen, we’re guessing these three conditions have to be met:

1. Anderson Cooper has to keep the candidates on one subject for at least half an hour.


That topic? The virtues of the metric system. No other candidate came out of the box with converting America to the metric system as part of their platform. No other candidate can bring Linc’s passion for the International System of Units. It’s not like these candidates who’ve spent a lot of time in the kitchen, so we’re guessing that there isn’t going to be a lot of knowledge of any measuring units, metric or English (the possible exception being Mr. Sanders, who’s from Vermont, where they know their ounces).

2. Surprise Farrier Round


Bring out the horses. A good challenge for a Presidential candidate is how they deal with the unexpected. If CNN suddenly announces that for the next round, we’re going to see how the candidates are at making horseshoes and putting those horseshoes on actual horses, Chafee is in luck. As he’s pointed out in the past, he’s the only farrier running for the White House.

If Chafee beats incredible odds and these do happen, Chafee might have a chance of winning this debate. If he wins the debate he has a decent chance of rising in the polls from 0% to…some number higher than zero.

-Tristan Pinnock, Blast Politics Correspondent

Tristan's just this guy, ya know?